Forecasting civil conflict along the shared socioeconomic pathways

A new and updated version of our armed conflict forecasts were recently published in Environmental Research Letters: ‘Forecasting civil conflict along the shared socioeconomic pathways’, written by myself as well as Halvard Buhaug, Katherine V. Calvin, Jonas Nordkvelle, Stephanie T. Waldhoff, and Elisabeth Gilmore. More details, link to the open-access article, and replication data can be found here.

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