This page lists the most recent published papers by me and my collaborators.
Håvard Hegre, Halvard Buhaug, Katherine V. Calvin, Jonas Nordkvelle, Stephanie T. Waldhoff, and Elisabeth Gilmore (2016:). Forecasting civil conflict along the shared socioeconomic pathways. Environmental Research Letters 11(5)054002. http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/054002
Wig, Tore; Håvard Hegre & Patrick M. Regan (2015). Updated Data on Institutions and Elections 1960–2012: Presenting the IAEP Dataset Version 2.0. Research and Politics. DOI: 10.1177/2053168015579120.
Hegre, Håvard (2014). Democracy and Armed Conflict. Journal of Peace Research 51(2). Pre-publication version.
Hegre, Håvard; & Nygård, Håvard Mokleiv (forthcoming). Governance and Conflict Relapse. Journal of Conflict Resolution. Pre-publication version.
Hegre, Håvard (forthcoming). ‘Civil Conflict and Development’, in van de Walle, Nicholas; & Lancaster, Carol (eds.): Oxford University Press Handbook on the Politics of Development. Oxford: Oxford University Press. Pre-publication version.
Hegre, Håvard (2013). Peace on Earth? The Future of Internal Armed Conflict. Significance Magazine 10(1): 4–8.
Hegre, Håvard; Nygård, Håvard Mokleiv; Strand, Håvard; Urdal, Henrik; & Karlsen, Joakim (2013). Predicting Armed Conflict, 2010-2050. International Studies Quarterly 57(2): 250–270.
Gates, Scott; Hegre, Håvard; Nygård, Håvard Mokleiv; & Strand, Håvard (2012). Development Consequences of Armed Conflict. World Development 40(9): 1713–1722.
Hegre, Håvard; & Holtermann, Helge (2012). ‘Poverty and Conflict’, pp. 39–58 in Brown, Graham; & Langer, Arnim (eds.): Elgar Handbook of Civil War and Fragile States. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar Publishing.
Hegre, Håvard; Hultman, Lisa; & Nygård, Håvard Mokleiv (2011). Simulating the Effect of Peacekeeping Operations 2010–2035. In John Salerno, Shanchieh Jay Yang, Dana Nau & Sun-Ki Chai (eds.): Social Computing, Behavioral-Cultural Modeling and Prediction. Lecture Notes in Computer Science 6589, pp. 325-334. Pre-publication version.
