Forecasting

Hegre, Håvard (2013). Terminating Civil War. Working paper. Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO).

Hegre, Håvard; Nygård, Håvard Mokleiv; Strand, Håvard; Urdal, Henrik; & Karlsen, Joakim (2013). Predicting Armed Conflict, 2010-2050. International Studies Quarterly 57(2): 250–270.

Hegre, Håvard (2013). Peace on Earth? The Future of Internal Armed Conflict. Significance Magazine 10(1): 4–8.

Hegre, Håvard; Hultman, Lisa; & Nygård, Håvard Mokleiv (2012). Evaluating the conflict-reducing effect of UN peacekeeping operations. Working paper.

Hegre, Håvard; Hultman, Lisa; & Nygård, Håvard Mokleiv (2011). Simulating the Effect of Peacekeeping Operations 2010–2035. In John Salerno, Shanchieh Jay Yang, Dana Nau & Sun-Ki Chai (eds.): Social Computing, Behavioral-Cultural Modeling and Prediction. Lecture Notes in Computer Science 6589, pp. 325–334. Preprint version.

Hegre, Håvard; Nygård, Håvard Mokleiv; Strand, Håvard; Gates, Scott; & Flaten; Ranveig D. (2011). The Conflict Trap. Working paper.

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